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David Fincher-
The Curious Case of
Benjamin Button
Danny Boyle-
Slumdog Millionaire
Gus Van Sant-
Milk
Christopher Nolan-
The Dark Knight
Darren Aronofsky-
The Wrestler
FOR HIM: The early NBR win
indicates support.  Long
overdue for recognition.  A
serious director around for
some time with massive
audience respect.
FOR HIM: Helming the
critical darling of the year
isn't the worst thing.  A
sure to be beloved film that
will string him along with
the film.
FOR HIM: Arguably robbed
for Good Will Hunting, Van
Sant has had some great
hits and this new politically
enchanting film seems to
be his golden ticket.
FOR HIM: With other
contenders dropping like
flies, Nolan finally has a
chance to take his Dark
Knight all the way.
FOR HIM: Long overdue for
some recognition, it seems
to be a lone director thing.
AGAINST HIM: Could get
bulldozed by Boyle's
Slumdog Millionaire.  At the
end of the day, NBR's
director wins don't
translate to Oscar noms
too often.
AGAINST HIM: If he starts
winning everything along
with the film, a backlash
may occur.  Maybe he's too
"locked" for a nomination.
AGAINST HIM: The movie is
getting great reviews but it
seems to be Penn that
carries the picture more
than his direction.  Maybe
the Academy will agree.
AGAINST HIM: At the end of
the day, this is still to some
a "Superhero" film
marketed as a summer
action blockbuster.  Will it
be the first?
AGAINST HIM: Snubbed in
all the precursors and
Rourke gets the praise, not
the direction.
DON'T COUNT OUT
Ron Howard-
Frost/Nixon
Woody Allen-
Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Stephen Daldry-
The Reader
Sam Mendes-
Revolutionary Road
Andrew Stanton
WALL-E
FOR HIM: The buzz for the
film is great right now.  It
could be a welcome back
inviitation to the Academy.
FOR HIM: He's been the lone
director many a time.  You
can never count out Woody.
FOR HIM: The Globe nod
indicates support.  The
Academy does like him.
FOR HIM: Some say a return
to form for him, others say
his best film of his career.  
Maybe the Oscars will
agree...
FOR HIM: Directed one of
the best reviewed films of
the year.  He's definitely in
the mix....
AGAINST HIM: Because the
buzz for the film is good
doesn't mean he will make
the cut in the end.
AGAINST HIM: He's nearly a
shoo-in in the screenplay
category.  That seems good
enough for now.
AGAINST HIM: He needs the
DGA and PGA and neither of
those look likely at this
point.
AGAINST HIM: If its that
good, why is it not showing
up in too many places.  
Looks to sit this one out
again.
AGAINST HIM: If the film
gets nominated for Best
Picture, that'll be an
accomplishment.  What
direction did he really do?
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING
PREDICTIONS
The Predicted Five (In Order)
ALSO IN CONTENTION
Mike Leigh-
Happy Go Lucky
Clint Eastwood-
Changeling
John Patrick Shanley-
Doubt
Jonathan Demme-
Rachel Getting Married
Thomas McCarthy-
The Visitor
Baz Luhrmann-
Australia
Edward Zwick-
Defiance
Charlie Kaufman-
Synecdoche, New York
Stephen Soderbergh-
Che
Joel Coen & Ethan Coen-
Burn After Reading
SUMMING IT UP:
Fincher & Boyle look pretty good for Oscar.  Van Sant is also getting some good mentions.  Nolan, Aronofsky, Stanton, Daldry, Howard, Allen, and
Mendes are all fighting for a spot.  I have a feeling for two lone directors this year, instead of one.
TRACKER
MAY 1, 2008
Clint Eastwood-
Changeling
David Fincher-
The Curious Case of
Benjamin Button
Baz Luhrmann-
Australia
Sam Mendes-
Revolutionary Road
John Patrick Shanley-
Doubt
May 15. 2008
David Fincher-
The Curious Case of
Benjamin Button
Charlie Kaufman-
Synecdoche, New York
Baz Luhrmann-
Australia
Sam Mendes-
Revolutionary Road
Ridley Scott-
Body of Lies
June 1, 2008
Clint Eastwood-
Changeling
David Fincher-
The Curious Case of
Benajmin Button
Baz Luhrmann-
Australia
Sam Mendes-
Revolutionary Road
Ridley Scott-
Body of Lies
July 1, 2008
Clint Eastwood-
Changeling
David Fincher-
The Curious Case of
Benjamin Button
Baz Luhrmann-
Australia
Sam Mendes-
Revolutionary Road
Gus Van Sant-
Milk
July 20, 2008
David Fincher-
The Curious Case of
Benjamin Button
John Hillcoat-
The Road
Baz Luhrmann-
Australia
Sam Mendes-
Revolutionary Road
Gus Van Sant-
Milk
September 8, 2008
David Fincher-
The Curious Case of
Benjamin Button
Clint Eastwood-
Changeling
John Hillcoat-
The Road
Baz Luhrmann-
Australia
Gus Van Sant-
Milk
October 27, 2008
Danny Boyle-
Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher-
The Curious Case of
Benjamin Button
Baz Luhrmann-
Australia
Christopher Nolan-
The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant-
Milk
December 10, 2008
Danny Boyle-
Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher-
The Curious Case of
Benjamin Button
Sam Mendes-
Revolutionary Road
Christopher Nolan-
The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant-
Milk
December 22, 2008
Darren Aronofsky-
The Wrestler
Danny Boyle-
Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher-
The Curious Case of
Benjamin Button
Christopher Nolan-
The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant-
Milk